The Possibility of Peace in the Korean Peninsula

이 책은 지금까지 비관주의, 숙명론에 경도된 한반도 평화연구에서 탈피하여 분석적 절충주의 이론에 바탕하여 북한의 비핵화와 민주화를 통해 한반도의 평화를 구축할 수 있는 가능성을 모색하고, 구체적인 방법과 과정 그리고 한반도 평화가 이루어졌을 때 이를 보장할 수 있는 국제적 그리고 한반도적 차원의 평화보장책을 제시하였다. 저자는 독일의 브란트(W. Brandt)의 동방정책을 살펴보며 불가능한 조건하에서 남북평화의 가능성을 찾기 위해서는 기존의 이론과 정책을 단순히 모방해서는 안 되고 창조적이고 혁신적인 이론과 방법을 구상해야 한다고 주장한다. 이 점에서 "한반도평화를 위한 북한독재체제의 민주화"와 "비핵화와 평화협정의 병행추진전략"은 "생각할 수 없는 것을 생각하게 하는" 혁신적인 해결방안이라는 것이다.



This book will address the problems in conflict resolution and peace-building in the Korean Peninsula. Peace building in the Korean Peninsula has been exceptionally difficult because concerned actors could not found feasible solutions to the complex problems surrounding conflict prevention, conflict resolution and peace building in the Korean Peninsula such as the North Korean nuclear issues, inter-Korean confrontation, and the rising competition of hegemony in East Asia between the US and China.



[추천사]



"A well-written, insightful, and comprehensive overview of the vast literature on tension reduction and peace building on the Korean peninsula. Discusses successive attempts by US and ROK policymakers to solve the nuclear issue, offering a devastating critique of Obama's "strategic patience." Outlines a proposal for encouraging North Korean democratization and reform, which would require reversing the current policy of isolation, pressure, and sanctions. Highly recommended."

-- Dr. John Merrill, USKI, Johns Hopkins University SAIS



"Professor Im is one of the most sure-footed clear-headed iconoclastic scholars of the Korean problem. He sees diplomacy at an impasse, policy paradigms as failing, and proposes a theoretically eclectic possibilist approach to conflict resolution that deserves a closer look. Like a skilled diagnostician and political surgeon, Im has sliced through to the essence of the problem and crafted a possible solution that could benefit everyone. He has identified the core issues in the North Korea nuclear dilemma and crafted a clever solution based on regional political precedent. This is a must read for those seeking a well reasoned path to peninsular peace and a reprieve from inertial forces and the squeeze of great power rivalry."

-- Professor Shepherd Iverson, Inha University

Acknowledgement



1. Prologue: From Pessimistic Exceptionalism to Intended Possibilism



PART I. Theory

2. Theoretical Discussion: Possibilism and Analytical Eclecticism

3. Contending Approaches to Resolving Inter-Korean Conflict and Crafting Peace



PART II. Obstacles to Peace in the Korean Peninsula

4. The Myth of Collapsism

5. Exceptional Survivability of North Korean Regime

6. G2 Competition as a Stumbling Block to Peace in the Korean Peninsula



PART III. Preventing Conflicts in the Korean Peninsula: Sanctions vs. Engagement

7. Conflict Prevention by Engagement: The Rise and Fall of Sunshine Policy

8. The Experiment of Unilateralism and Multilateralism: The Rise and Fall of Six Party Talks

9. Resolving North Korean Nuclear Issues in the New Era



PART IV. A Possibilist Approach to Democracy for Peace in North Korea

10. Why Democracy for Peace in North Korea?: The Desirability of Democratic Peace in North Korea

11. Crafting Democracy in North Korea



PART V. Building Peace in the Korean Peninsula

12. Denuclearization and Peace Treaty Negotiations



PART VI. Guaranteeing Peace in the Korean Peninsula

13. International Dimension of Guaranteeing Peace

14. Guaranteeing Peace by Inter-Korean Prosperity and Identity: Korean Economic Community and Constructing National Identity

15. Conclusion



References

Index

Hyug Baeg Im 저자 임혁백(Hyug Baeg Im, 任爀伯)은 고려대학교 정치외교학과 명예교수. 서울대학교를 졸업하고 시카고대학교에서 박사학위를 취득하였다. 이화여대, 조지타운대, 듀크대, 스탠퍼드대, 존스홉킨스대 등에서 교수를 역임하였다. 또한 김대중 정부 대통령자문 정책기획위원회 정치행정분과 위원장, 노무현 정부 대통령직인수위원회 산하 정치개혁 연구실장, 대통령취임사 준비위원회 위원, 참여정부정책평가위원장, 통일부 정책평가위원, 국방부 국방정책 자문위원, 고려대학교 평화와 민주주의연구소 소장, 고려대학교 정치외교학과 BK21 교육.연구단 단장 등을 역임하였으며 2008년부터 2013년까지 대통령직속 사회통합위원회 위원, 국회입법조사처(NARS) 자문위원을 지냈다. 주요저서로는 시장, 국가, 민주주의』(나남, 1994), 『세계화시대의 민주주의』(나남, 2000), 『신유목적 민주주의』 (나남, 2009)(*2010년 한국정치학회 학술상 수상작), 『1987년 이후의 민주주의』(고려대출판사, 2011)(*2011년 학술원 우수학술도서), 『대선 2012: 어떤 리더십이 선택될 것인가?』(인텔리겐치아, 2012), 『산과 강은 바다에서 만나고: 지중해 역사문화』(나남, 2014) (*2015년 문화체육관광부 우수교양도서), 『한반도와 동아시아의 안보와 평화』(한울, 2014), 『비동시성의 동시성: 한국정치의 다중적 공간』,(고려대출판부, 2014 (2015년 대한민국 학술원상 수상작; 2015년 학술원 우수학술도서) 등이 있다.



The author, Hyug Baeg Im is a Professor Emeritus at the Department of Political Science and International Relations, Korea University. He received B.A. in political science from Seoul National University, M.A. and Ph.D. in political science from the University of Chicago. He served as an Executive Council Member, International Political Science Associations (IPSA, 2007-2012). He was the Dean at the Graduate School of Policy Studies, the Director of Institute for Peace Studies, and the Director of BK 21 Research and Education Corp. at Korea University. He had served as a presidential adviser of the president Kim Dae Jung, Roh Moo Hyun and Lee Myung Bak. He had advised for Ministry of National Unification and that of National Defense, ROK and National Assembly Research Service. He taught at Georgetown University (1995-1996), Duke University (1997), Stanford University (2002-2003) and conducted researches at National Endowment for Democracy (1995-1996) and USKI, Johns Hopkins University SAIS (2012-2013), and Asia Center, Seoul National University (2014-2015). He received the Order of Service Merit from ROK Government, the Best Academic Award 2010 from Korean Political Science Association, and the Best Academic Award 2015 from National Academy of Science, ROK.

His major publications since 2000 include: Mongering North Korean Democracy for Inter-Korean Peace co-authored with Jae Ku (2015); "Crony Capitalism in South Korea, Thailand, and Taiwan," Journal of East Asian Studies(2001); "Faltering Democratic Consolidation in South Korea," Democratization (2004); "The US role in Korean Democracy and Security since Cold War Era," International Relations of the Asia-Pacific (2006); "Inter-Korean Relations and Cross-Strait Relations through the Regional Integration Theories," Asian Survey(2011); "Better Democracy, Better Economic Growth?" International Political Science Review (2011); Democratic Development and Authoritarian Development Compared," S. Hua and R. Hu (eds.), East Asian Development Model (2015). "South Korean Democratic Consolidation in Comparative Perspective," L. and BK Kim (eds.), Consolidating Democracy in South Korea (2000); "Christian Churches and Democratization in South Korea," TJ Cheng and D. Brown (eds.), Religious Organizations and Democracy in Contemporary Asia (2004); "Development and Change in Korean Democracy since the Democratic Transition in 1987 ," Y. Chu and S. Wong (eds.), East Asia's New Democracies (2010); "The Origins of Yushin," BK Kim and E. Vogel (eds.), The Park Chung Hee Era (2011); "The Two Turnovers in South Korea and Taiwan," Democracy in East Asia (2013); "Political Response To Economic Crisis in 1997 and 2008 South Korea," H. Magara (ed.), Economic Crisis and Policy Regimes (2014);"Social Welfare, Globalization and Democracy in South Korea,"H. Lim, W. Sch?fer, and S. Hwang (eds.), Global Challenges in Asia (2014), "Exceptional Difficulties of Peace Building in Korean Peninsula" Viennese Contributions to Korean Studies (2014)