세상에서 제일 쉬운 주가 차트 실전 노트: 데이 트레이딩 편

66만 엔으로 3억 엔 만든 투자자, 사가라 후미아키의
실제 매매를 통해 자산을 증식한 경험을 바탕으로 한 실전 전략서

개인 투자자에게 실질적인 도움을 주는 데이 트레이딩 입문서인 《세상에서 제일 쉬운 주가 차트 실전 노트 - 데이 트레이딩 편》은 총 5개의 PART와 부록으로 구성되어 있다.

증권회사 선택 방법과 정보 전술, 즉 데이 트레이딩으로 수익을 올리기 위해서는 시장 외적인 요소도 중요하다. PART 01 먼저 데이 트레이딩의 기본을 확인하자에서는 데이 트레이더가 알아둬야 할 기본 지식을 확인해본다.

'매우 실전적인 구성'은 이 책의 특징이다. 따라서 경험이 없는 분들은 이해하기 어려운 용어도 자주 등장하기에 PART 02 차트와 호가창의 기본을 이해하자에서는 이 책에 등장하는 기본용어를 소개한다.

주식으로 이익을 얻으려면 '차트를 읽는 능력'과 '뉴스 재료를 분별하는 능력'이 중요하다. PART 03 차트와 뉴스 재료를 파악하는 분석 노하우에서는 저자가 실제 매매 지표로 활용하는 차트 패턴과 뉴스 재료를 소개한다.

매수와 매도 판단은 실제로 시행착오를 겪으며 단련하는 것이 가장 효과적이다. PART 04 데이 트레이딩을 마스터하기 위한 차트 실전 트레이닝에서는 시장에서 실제로 볼 수 있었던 36가지 차트 패턴을 소개한다. 먼저 자신만의 시나리오를 그려본 후, 부록의 해설 편의 차트 패턴과 비교해보기 바란다.

데이 트레이딩을 할 때, 꼭 필요한 것은 '정신적인 강인함'이다. 비결은 '자만심이나 조바심에 휘둘리는 자신을 어떻게 컨트롤하느냐'다. PART 05 시장에서 지지 않는 강한 마음을 기르자에서는 자신을 컨트롤하는 방법에 대해 다룬다.

부록에는 PART 04에서 푼 연습 문제에 대한 해답과 해설을 담았다.
차트와 뉴스 재료를 수록한 36개의 연습 문제를 푸는 동안, 당신의 데이 트레이딩 실전 능력은 극적으로 향상될 것이다!

프롤로그································································································· 4
자산이 3억 엔으로 늘어난 이유는 무엇인가?················································ 6
닛케이지수 1만 엔 붕괴에도 굴하지 않고 흑자를 내다···································· 8
여러분의 더 현명한 투자 라이프를 위해······················································ 9

PART 01 먼저 데이 트레이딩의 기본을 확인하자
데이 트레이딩의 매력은 아주 많다!······························································ 18
매일 새로운 기분으로 도전할 수 있다······················································· 18
직장인도 할 수 있는 데이 트레이딩························································· 19
주식 시장의 하루 흐름·············································································· 21
가격 변동은 시간대에 따라 변화한다························································ 21
데이 트레이딩에 큰 영향을 미치는 인간 심리·············································· 22
주식 투자를 시작하는 방법은?···································································· 24
증권회사를 선택할 때 고려해야 할 포인트················································· 24
어떤 조건 주문이 적합할까?······································································· 27
조건 주문 활용이 '승리'의 핵심······························································ 27
투자 스탠스를 확립하자············································································ 30
당신의 성격에 맞는 투자 스타일····························································· 30
신용 거래인 '공매도'··········································································· 30
공매도가 가능한 '대차 종목'·································································· 31
데이 트레이딩에 적합한 종목 선택 방법은 무엇일까?········································ 33
종목 선택이 중요한 이유······································································ 33
닛케이지수와 TOPIX는 전날 확인할 것···················································· 33
랭킹 정보를 활용하자·········································································· 35
점심시간에 종목을 선택하는 경우··························································· 36
헤드라인 뉴스를 체크하자····································································· 38
'주가보드'를 적극적으로 활용하자······························································· 40
편리한 섹터별 관리 추천······································································ 40
선별한 종목의 뉴스를 검색하자······························································ 42
잊어서는 안 되는 환율········································································· 42
데이 트레이더의 정보전술은?····································································· 44
모두가 알고 있는 정보를 파악하는 것이 중요하다········································· 44
데이 트레이딩에 도움이 되는 신문 읽는 법················································· 44
칼럼 1 공매도를 활용하기 위한 키워드······················································· 46

PART 02 차트와 호가창의 기본을 이해하자
차트의 기본 ① 캔들과 거래량이란?······························································ 50
'차트'는 FX에서도 공통적으로 사용된다··················································· 50
인기도를 알기 위해 필요한 '거래량'························································ 50
기본 중의 기본, '캔들'········································································· 51
차트의 기본 ② 이동평균선은 매우 중요하다··················································· 53
먼저 5일 이동평균선과 25일 이동평균선을 살펴보자··································· 53
차트의 기본 ③ 5분봉 차트를 읽어보자·························································· 58
3분봉이나 1분봉보다 5분봉이 좋다························································· 58
호가창의 기본 ① 호가창의 구조를 알아보자··················································· 62
구조는 확실하게 이해하자····································································· 62
주문 조건을 선택하는 데도 중요하다······················································· 63
호가창 너머를 상상하면······································································· 64
호가창의 기본 ② 호가란 무엇인가?····························································· 65
매매가 성립되지 않을 때의 '특별호가'······················································ 65
빈번하게 발생하는 '허수 주문'에 주의하자················································ 66
'허수 주문'을 예상한 전략이 필요하다······················································ 67
호가창의 기본 ③ 틱(tick)과 상한가/하한가····················································· 70
매매를 지정할 수 있는 최소 가격 단위 '틱'················································ 70
이익금과 손실금, 그리고 승률이 중요하다················································· 70
주가와 가격 제한폭의 관계를 알아보자 ···················································· 72
칼럼 2 CME와 닛케이 225 선물······························································ 74

PART 03 차트와 뉴스 재료를 파악하는 분석 노하우
뉴스 재료 ① 결산 발표의 기본···································································· 78
뉴스 재료를 알면 귀중한 기회를 놓치지 않는다·········································· 78
결산과 실적 전망을 파악하자································································· 78
결산은 기대감과 경계감이 교차한다························································ 79
발표 시기는 미리 알아두자···································································· 80
주가는 결산 발표 전후로 크게 움직인다···················································· 81
뉴스 재료 ② 호조와 부진, 그리고 실적 예상··················································· 83
'사전 예상을 상회하는가, 하회하는가'가 중요하다······································· 83
뉴스 재료 ③ 증권사의 레이팅····································································· 86
등급 정보가 전달되는 시간차에 주의할 것················································· 86
뉴스 재료 ④ 수급 균형을 움직이는 요소························································ 89
투자자를 무시하는 기업 행동은 '악재'······················································ 89
뉴스 재료 ⑤ 세상의 영향 등······································································· 92
주가가 실제와 괴리되는 경우도 있다······················································· 92
기술적 분석 ① '상승 지속' 신호·································································· 94
시장 상황을 고려한 종합적인 판단을 하자················································· 94
추세추종적 투자자를 위한 차트 읽는 법···················································· 95
기술적 분석 ② '하락' 신호········································································101
공매도할 때 차트 읽는 법·····································································101
기술적 분석 ③ '반등' 신호········································································105
역추세 투자자를 위한 차트 읽는 법························································105
당일 전략 ① '매수' 타이밍········································································110
매수 기회를 놓치지 않기 위해·······························································110
당일 전략 ② '공매도' 타이밍·····································································113
크게 하락할 때는 '신용 매도' 기회·························································113
당일 전략 ③ OUT 타이밍·········································································115
이익 실현과 손절매는 등락률과 저항선이 기준··········································115
5일 이동평균선 하향 돌파 등을 철수 조건으로 삼는 경우도 있다····················116
칼럼 3 익숙해지면 도전해보고 싶은 물타기················································118

PART 04 데이 트레이딩을 마스터하기 위한 차트 실전 트레이닝
문제를 원활하게 풀기 위해서·····································································122
주가가 25일 이동평균선을 넘어설 때의 차트 Q01~02·····································124
주가가 25일 이동평균선을 돌파한 직후의 차트 Q03~04··································126
횡보 후의 차트 Q05~06···········································································128
바닥 이탈 후의 차트, 2단 상승 후의 차트 Q07~08··········································130
갭 메우기와 추세 전환 시의 차트 Q09~10····················································132
호재 발표 직후 갭 상승과 그때의 공략법 Q11~12···········································134
호재 발표 직후 갭 하락과 그때의 공략법 Q13~14···········································136
실적 발표와 등급 변동 시 차트 Q15~16·······················································138
기업이 실적 전망을 상향 수정했을 때의 차트 Q17~18·····································140
기업이 실적 전망을 하향 수정했을 때의 차트 Q19~20·····································142
'재료 소멸' 시 차트 Q21~22·····································································144
공모증자 시 공략법 Q23~24·····································································146
TOB를 이용한 공략법 Q25~26··································································148
같은 업계의 호재, 악재를 이용한 공략법 Q27~28···········································150
상한가·하한가 상황에서 공략법 Q29~30······················································152
일방통행 상승·하락 시 공략법 Q31~32························································154
시류에 따라 자금이 집중하는 시장 공략법 Q33~34·········································156
기억해둬야 할 특수한 시장 공략법 Q35~36··················································158
칼럼 4 SQ주에는 주가 변동이 불규칙해진다···············································160

PART 05 시장에서 지지 않는 강한 마음을 기르자
지속적인 성과를 내는 '나만의 규칙'·····························································164
정신력(Mental Thoughness)을 잊어서는 안 된다·········································164
IN 규칙과 OUT 규칙 및 시간 규칙·························································164
스스로 정한 규칙은 반드시 지킬 것························································166
'반성 타임'이 성장을 가져온다···································································168
하루의 트레이드를 되돌아보자······························································168
데이 트레이딩에 필수적인 '리스크 컨트롤'····················································172
살아남기 위해 리스크를 줄이자·····························································172
시장에서 이기기 위해 자신에게 이기자····················································173
자만과 기대가 가장 위험하다································································174
'운'은 스스로 불러오는 것·········································································175
리스크를 피하기 위해서라도 자산 운용을··················································175
부업으로 트레이딩을 하는 장점·····························································176
흘러가는 대로···················································································176
칼럼 5 데이 트레이딩 수익률 향상을 위한 도구············································178

부록
데이 트레이딩을 마스터하기 위한 차트 실전 트레이닝
(해답과 해설) ·····················································································180

에필로그······························································································254

사가라 후미아키 대학 졸업 후 본격적인 트레이더 생활을 시작했다. 초기 자본금 66만 엔을 6개월 만에 200만 엔, 다음 해에는 2,000만 엔, 그다음 해에는 3억 엔으로 불리는 등 놀라운 속도로 자산 증식에 성공했다. 최근에도 2007년 세계 금융 위기를 제외하고, 매년 단기 투자에서 흑자를 기록하고 있다. 시장 상황과는 무관하게 안정적인 데이 트레이더 생활을 영위하고 있다. 데이 트레이더로서의 성공을 바탕으로 '최소한의 노력으로 최대한의 성과를 내는 것 = 타이만(たいまん 게으름)'을 인생의 모토로 삼고 있으며, 최근에는 '타이만 선생'이라는 애칭으로 불리고 있다. '사람과 기업에 투자한다'라는 신념에 따라 평소에는 학창 시절부터 계속해온 학원 강사 일을 하며 많은 학생들의 진학 지도를 하고 있다. 저서로는 《2년 7개월 만에 66만 엔을 3억 엔으로 만들다! 목표는 연이율 1,000%! 주식 단기 매매법》이 있다.